Can somebody explain why if the AEC are doing a 3 way count here, why they are not doing one in Richmond which seems (to me) a seat where the Greens could still get up or at least be second. The Green margin versus the Liberal Party rises from 21.8% to 22.6%.There were Green two-candidate preferred majorities in all 32 polling places in 2019, its vote rising above 70% in 22 and 80% in 13. UAP 4.88%, 1. Candidate Johnson said he planned on focusing on the citys continued upward trending growth. Bandt was easily re-elected in 2016 and 2019 when Labor's vote slipped to third place behind the Liberal candidate. Of couse, the Liberals could drop to third (especially with Dutton as leader and Libs choosing to abandon inner city seats) even on the current boundaries anyway. Contents 1 Members 2 Election results 2.1 Elections in the 2010s 2.2 Elections in the 2000s ALP got 31.8% of the primary vote but 62.3% of the 2PP. There are 4,658 envelopes waiting to processed, only 200 of them are postals, they are late arriving postals which I guess will favour Greens or break even. Labor will be desperate to hang on to its own newly-acquired seats, and presumably also very keen to protect and help the Independents as well. Labor's vote fell further in 2016, finishing third behind the Liberal candidate, and stayed in third place at the 2019 election after Labor disendorsed its candidate mid-campaign. ', Greek transport minister resigns over train crash; 36 dead, SoCal storm timeline: More snow, heavier rain expected Wednesday, Peoria police investigating shooting that left 1 dead at Circle K, One-On-One With WJZ: Baltimore Mayor Brandon Scott defends backing BGE Conduit deal, There's no shortage of salt for NYC roads. Six candidates are vying for three seats on the Melbourne City Council on the Nov. 8 ballot, with hopes of helping guide governmental operations of one of the Space Coast's dominant economic communities. GRN 28,657. To date, we can boastOrion180 (300 jobs), Northrop Grumman (400 to 600 jobs), and creating less government for our small-business owners. The West Finger Pier is a good vantage point to view the ships. The 2020 City of Melbourne Council elections. Twitter: @JDGallop. In Macnamara, the Liberal vote is consistently around 40%, and a Green victory hinges on the Greens passing Labor on first preferences, and then strong flows of Labor preferences putting the Green candidate ahead of the Liberal in the final count. He has previously worked as a teacher's aide and a factory hand, and before the 2019 election was a Senior Adviser to the Premier of Victoria, Daniel Andrews. Occupation:Environmental health physicist, Education: Bachelor of Science in physics, University of Central Florida, Master of Science in health physics, Georgia Tech, Political/government/civic experience:U.S. Navy, enlisted, 1980-1990; U.S. Department of Energy Nuclear Engineering and Health Physics Fellow (1991-1995); associate professor and chair, Department of Health Physics, University of Nevada, Las Vegas (1995-2004); U.S. Air Force scientist, 2004-2022; president of church congregational council (2017-2021); member of West Melbourne Board of Adjustments (2019-2022), member of School Advisory Committees (Suntree Elementary, 2006-2009; Longleaf Elementary, 2010-2012; West Melbourne School for Science, 2013-2015). The city of more than 28,000 residents has a $50 million budget, and is set to complete its own water plant in December 2026. Melbourne Ports was won in 1906 by Labor candidates James Mathews. This model has been successfully used in other communities across the country. Greens definitely over performed in Prahran. William Bowes update on PB tonight sums it up well and he states that based on whats left and how the numbers are falling, things are now trending the Greens way. The Division of Melbourne Ports is located to the south of Melbourne's central business district. Labor appeared to have picked up primary votes in both Brisbane and Macnamara just the greens picked up more, so not all negative for them Interestingly the preferences for non-green/lib/labor voters in those seats (mainly right-wing UAP,ON, LDP and smaller left-wing AJP) were split around 50% lib, 35% green and 15% alp so assume more UAP/ON/LDP voters preferenced greens over labor. Holloway was secretary of the Melbourne Trades Hall Council, who had stood against Bruce in protest at the government's arbitration policies. But its certainly possible. A list of profiles for Candidates A-Z in the Federal Election 2022 Also disagree with you Dan M. It is completely misleading to analyse the Labor Albert Park Margin and Caulfield Margin considering that Balaclava, St Kilda and other areas are in the Caulfield electorate (fairly progressive electorates). 2019 Federal Election: A Meet the Candidates for the House of Representatives seat of Macnamara, formerly Melbourne Ports, . Assessment Macnamara has been under threat from the Liberal Party in the past, but its unlikely the Liberal Party could win in the current environment. Poll Bludger has not called it for Labor, they have actually said the odds are most likely leaning against them now. This change slightly reduced the Labor margin from 6.2% to 6.1%. Hickey is a qualified primary school teacher, social worker, and family therapist. Deakin is also Liberal, the trends are helping Sukkar there on postals. For more information, see Previous Meet the Candidates events include: The 2022 Federal Election: A Meet the Candidates was held on 3rd mat at the boyd community Hub. Results 1983-2019. Cruise seasons usually run from spring to autumn and Station Pier is closed to the public when cruise ships are berthed. Gallop is a Criminal Justice/Breaking News Reporter at FLORIDA TODAY. Please enable scripts and reload this page. She said the support she got from other teams was 'overwhelming. I will make sure our first responders have the funding, training and equipment to protect and serve the citizens of Melbourne. Macnamara covers the port of Melbourne, St Kilda and Caulfield. A successful businesswoman, Bernadene has been a resident for 20 years in the electorate of Macnamara. AEST = Australian Eastern Standard Time which is 10 hours ahead of GMT (Greenwich Mean Time). After originally being won by the Protectionist party, it has been held by the ALP consistently since 1906, although it has rarely been held by large margins. (See the graph below for first preference votes in Melbourne Ports/Macnamara since 1984.) 2018 State Election: A Meet the Candidates for the lower house seat of Albert Park was held at 6pm, on Tuesday, 30th October in the Boyd Community Hub. Phil, the AEC have already done a 3CP count for all the ballots currently counted, and published it. Currently [83.41% point] ALP lead Liberals by 4 420 and Greens by 3 873. Three candidates will be running for two available seats on the Melbourne Beach Town Commission in the Nov. 8 election. Under its former name, Melbourne Ports, this electorate had been held by the Labor Party since 1906. Growth will continue in West Melbourne. He has lived and worked in inner Melbourne for most of his life. Political/government/civic experience: West Melbourne City Council (appointed June 2022); secretary of Space Coast Field of Dreams board; West Melbourne Citizens Leadership Academy; former deputy chair of West Melbourne Parks & Recreation board; former Brevard educator; Transportation & Intergovernmental Relations Policy Committee member; member of the Melbourne, Palm Bay, Titusville and Cocoa Beach chambers of commerce; and LEAD Brevard board member. Labor would have still won since they still hold Albert Park by a 11% margin compared to the Libs 2% margin in Caufield though there was a 2% swing to the Libs in both seats against expectations the Lib vote would further collapse in that area like in the federal election. In most remaining vote types, the Liberals are currently outpacing Labor by between 1-3% in 3CP terms (despite Labor getting a higher primary vote), and the Greens are currently outpacing Labor by between 5-8%. (Click on polling place for results)Labor recorded two-party preferred majorities in 27 of the 30 polling places used in 2019, its vote passing 70% in eight. The four candidates are incumbents Diana Adams, John Dittmore and Andrea Young, along U.S. Navy veteran William Johnson, who sits on the city's Board of Adjustments. J.D. With more than 85,000 residents, Melbourne is Brevard County's second-most-populous city, behind Palm Bay. 3. Canadian airline coming: Sunwing Airlines to launch service from Melbourne to three Canadian cities in December, New police headquarters: Melbourne leaders dedicate $32 million police headquarters to force's lone fallen officer, Occupation:Realtor, private investigator, process server, notary, Education:Course study of sociology, with a concentration in forensic psychology, at Massachusetts College of Liberal Arts, Political/government/civic experience:911 dispatcher; Space Coast Young Republicans; NAACP Legal Redress Team; attends Melbourne Police Community Relations Council meetings; 18th District process server, Campaign email:rachael4melbourne@gmail.com, Website, Facebook, other social media pages/links:rachael4melbourne.com;Facebook: Rachael Bassett for Melbourne City Council. The incumbent, Debbie Thomas, is wrapping up her second consecutive term, and cannot run for reelection because of termlimits. Labour need only finish in final two run-off. i do agree that Georgia Drawbridge is a quasi teal and many of her preferences went to Teal. The retirement of long serving Labor MP Lindsay Tanner in 2010 produced a further switch in first preference support, the Greens finishing 1.9% short of Labor on first preferences and easily winning after being the recipient of 80% of Liberal preferences. Burns was the Labor candidate for Caulfield at the 2014 state election. Subscribe today. The 2022 Federal Election: A Meet the Candidates was held on 3rd mat at the boyd community Hub. Other suburbs include Elwood, Balaclava, Elsternwick, Ripponlea, Middle Park, Albert Park and South Melbourne. The Greens have a ridiculously small margin of error for it to not work out for them. Therefore, just say Libs are averaging 26% and Labor 29% on new batches, after minor preferences (others are currently averaging around 12%) they are basically getting around 30.5% each on 3PP terms, which means the Liberals lead isnt going away. She is a former planning and environmental lawyer, and has also worked as an advisor to the Australian Mission to the United Nations and as a volunteer lawyer at Environmental Justice Australia. This is a mathematical certainty that labour will be in top two primary count. Crean quickly rose through the Labor ranks and was effectively the Shadow Treasurer from the mid-1950s until the election of the Whitlam government in 1972. He has a background in tourism and understands the economic importance of protecting Australia's most important natural assets. Tel: +61 3 8347 8300 Port Melbourne Candidate jobs now available in Melbourne VIC. I was thinking Mcnamara was a certain Labor retain at least on Election night but at this stage I think Greens would be favourites to win Mcnamara. Listing of Victorian Ports Corporation (Melbourne) Notices to Mariners for the current calendar year and those in force at 1 January of the current year. The LIB/ALP 2PP here will be Labors best since before Caulfield was in the seat and the Lib PV may be the lowest in 5-6 decades. These kinds of investments drive responsible growth, reduce traffic and support efficient response times for law enforcement and emergency services. Podcast #86: Introduction to the NSW election, When local council parties break into state politics. (Victories by a party of government are indicated by thick coloured underlining.). But, because the margins are so slim, what favours Labor is that it wont take much of a change to how votes are breaking (either Libs or Greens start doing worse) for them to stay in the top two and win. Just to clarify Daniel, Liberals currently lead Labor by 50 votes on the 3CP, but the rstes at which new votes are breaking, after the Libs outpace Labor 3:1 on minor preferences, is actually adding to that lead, not reducing it. When comparing Greens and Labor. Contact Neale at 321-242-3638 or rneale@floridatoday.com. Harbour Master's Directions & Port Information Guide, Notices to Mariners & Operational Instructions. But that so far the postals have been better for Labor than the model projects so they are most likely to retain. Melbourne: 14 Sep 2022: 162(T)-22: Port Melbourne / Webb Dock Berth 3 East extension project restricted zone chainage extended: 02 May 2022: 408(T)-21: Port Melbourne / Webb Dock . 1966 was the last time the Liberal PV was below 30% in Melbourne Ports / Macnamara. In 2018, I pledged to work toward a healthy Indian River Lagoon. It was located to the south of Melbourne's central business district and covered an area of approximately 40 km 2 around the north and north-eastern shores of Port Phillip Bay . It was notable for having one of Australia's larger Jewish populations, at 9.9%, much higher than the nationwide 0.4%. Before being won by Josh Burns in 2019, the electorate had been represented by only five members in 113 years. Newspoll-You Gov actually picked up a bounce for the Greens over the last six days before E-Day, and that helps explain why late arriving postals in Macnamara appear to be breaking more to Green than Labour. I am not saying the results will be repeated in 2025 for Josh Burns a Dutton led Liberal party will underperform the state Libs which moved back to the centre on climate. A major activity centre like Glenhuntly Road shouldnt be a boundary because the traders on both sides of the road are a single community of interest. Had the 2013 election's 66% flow of Liberal preferences to Labor occurred in 2010, then Adam Bandt would not have won Melbourne. Rick Neale is the South Brevard Watchdog Reporter at FLORIDA TODAY (for more of his stories, click here.) This must be a record for having the biggest difference between the primary vote and 2PP vote. (Click on polling place for results). To date, I have been instrumental in working with our Tallahassee representatives to bring back $3 million-plus for water projects to Melbourne. The electorate includes the suburbs of Port Melbourne, South Melbourne, Middle Park, South Yarra, St Kilda, Balaclava, Elwood and parts of Elsternwick and Caulfield. Melbourne Ports had been a tight three-way contest in 2016, Labor's Michael Danby staying narrowly ahead of the Greens to eventually win a narrow victory over the Liberals on Green preferences. Inner south of Melbourne. Support for the Greens rose through the first decade of the twenty first century, polling 15.7% in 2001, 19.0% in 2004, 22.8% and finishing second after preferences in 2007, and 36.2% and achieving victory on Liberal preferences in 2010. LIB 29,202 2. Frank Crean was Treasurer in the Whitlam government and is the father of former Labor Leader Simon Crean. With the projected population expansion expected to be over 40,000, fire and safety services need to be controlled by the city, not contracted out. No way Labor comes 3rd. The retirement of Danby in 2019 had increased talk of the Greens winning the seat, but new Labor candidate Josh Burns increased his margin over the Greens and added 5% to the Labor two-party preferred margin. Greens overtaking Labor means Labor will finish 3rd. It will make a massive difference in how the Albanese government is seen. Assume no leap in turnout leaves 8 792 votes remaining to be counted, less 6.44% informal rate (566 votes) = 8 226 votes;- are not sufficient from which Green & Liberals can find 8 295 primary votes. Consequently, sample ballots in different jurisdictions in the same state may not be . Therefore the Greens are rapidly catching up but are not doing so at the expense of the Liberals. . Regional Victorian ports - follow this link . 1422 are remaining and they are breaking 24.8% LIB, 27.9% ALP, 34.2% GRN, 13.2% Other. After the exclusion of several minor party candidates with 7.3% between them, the three-candidate count had become Liberal 43.7%, Labor 28.7% to Greens 27.6%. He grew up in Melbourne's western suburbs delivering newspapers to help his working-class family with a bit of extra income while he gained his accountant's diploma. he video of the event is the second of the three videos below. Incredibly close, basically meaning minor preference flows could eliminate any one of the 3, especially since 4 of the minors are right wing and Labor are likely to get the least minor preferences. If all the remaining votes, using Kevin Bonhams expectation of 1750 postal votes, break exactly as they currently are, I only have the Greens beating Labor by about 50 votes which would be an automatic recount. She went on to study education, undergraduate and post graduate studies at Institute of Catholic Education, and then completed a masters degree in education at Monash University. Paterson works in mental health and runs programs and interventions to make workplaces more psychologically safe and mentally healthy. The Greens topped the primary vote in St Kilda, with the Liberal Party a distant third. Globally the pollsters, in 2022, have been consistently overestimating social democratic support and underestimating Green support. Considering that, I still think Labor are the best position to win and probably will. Fiscal responsibility: Ensure the citys strong finances by providing budgetary oversight and being fiscally conservative with taxpayer funds, especially with the recent rising costs. First, the trend occurred first in Melbourne before it was followed in Batman, Wills, Melbourne Ports and Higgins. Libs to get Higgins back and Greens to make Macnamara notionally Green. Rob McCathie ( Liberal Democrats) Ben Schultz ( Animal Justice) Steph Hodgins-May ( Greens) Jane Hickey ( United Australia) Assessment Macnamara has been under threat from the Liberal Party in the past, but it's unlikely the Liberal Party could win in the current environment. Live scores Keep across all the live scores and results from the Australian Open at Melbourne Park Melbourne - Federal Election 2022 Share 86.9 % turnout, final figures GRN retain Adam Bandt elected 12.4% swing from GRN Preference count Labor Party Keir Paterson 39.8% 38,456 Greens Adam Bandt MP 60.2% 58,050 50% This will not onlyprovide tax savings, it will allow for a more equitable taxation of the residents of West Melbourne. Macnamara was a medical researcher and doctor who discovered there was more than one type of the polio virus and worked extensively with children suffering from poliomyelitis, training doctors and physiotherapists in the management of the disease. Labor 32.94% 2. The Division of Melbourne Ports was an Australian federal electoral division in the inner south-eastern suburbs of Melbourne, Victoria, Australia. It covers an area of approximately 40 sq km around the north and north-eastern shores of Port Phillip Bay. However, the problem they might face in that redistribution scenario is that removing the Liberals best area (Caulfield) would almost certainly drop the Libs to third place and make it an ALP v Greens count where theyd probably have a 5% margin to make up rather than a ~200 vote margin to get into a LIB v GRN count. Council members also comprise three of the seven members of the Melbourne Airport Authority, which will overseea proposed $41 million budget next year. But his initial victory had further boosted Green support by 2013, making Liberal preferences in Melbourne irrelevant. Melbourne:2022 elections: Meet the six candidates running for three Melbourne City Council seats; To make a comment or suggest a change to the election site, pleasecontact us. Weds, 16th November with Georgie Dragwidge (Indep), Elizabeth Antunovic (Freedom Party) and Cassandra Westwood (Animal Justice Party). We acknowledge Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples as the First Australians and Traditional Custodians of the lands where we live, learn, and work. Locations and shipping agents' contact details, below. Please enable scripts and reload this page. 100% agree. The first preference vote graph is reflected in many inner-Melbourne electorate, with a rise in Green support mirrored by a decline in Labor first preference vote. Growth will continue in West Melbourne," Johnson said. ), Time listed is at Fawkner Beacon- Time between the Heads and Fawkner Beacon - 3 hours- Time between Fawkner Beacon and berth - 1 hour, Time listed is at Point Richards- Time between the Heads and Point Richards - 3 hours- Time between Point Richards and berth - 2 hours, 2016 Victorian Ports Corporation (Melbourne). He has worked as a computer systems administrator and consultant for small-medium enterprise. I think the true boundary here is Hotham street which separates Port Phillip from Glen Eira.. Mandy Nolan Candidate for Richmond Steph Hodgins-May Candidate for Macnamara (prev. Campaign Email: diana@dianaforcouncil.com, Campaign Facebook page: Facebook.com/DianaForWestMelbourne. Authorised by the Electoral Commissioner, Canberra, Register of political parties and decisions, Torres Strait Regional Authority elections, A4 map of the Division of Melbourne Ports (2010) [PDF 785KB], Map of the Division of Melbourne Ports (2010) [PDF 13.4MB], 2016 federal election House of Representatives results for Melbourne Ports, 2013 federal election House of Representatives results for Melbourne Ports, 2010 federal election House of Representatives results for Melbourne Ports, 2007 federal election House of Representatives results for Melbourne Ports, 2004 federal election House of Representatives results for Melbourne Ports, Party codes, demographic ratings and seat status. Do automatic recounts apply to 3CP counts? She taught in a variety of schools, both primary and secondary, and worked as an education consultant both here and in Japan. Support local journalism. Heres a summary of the current state of play. ABC has given Labor Macnamara and hence get a majority of 76 seats. Crean served as Treasurer for the first two years of the Whitlam government, but was pushed aside in late 1974 in the midst of difficult economic times, and moved to the Trade portfolio. East of Hotham, the Glen Eira part of St Kilda East is totally different and more similar to Caulfield North. Mathews held Melbourne Ports for a quarter of a century, retiring in 1931. Question now is what becomes of the boundaries at the next election. See ships at Port Phillip Heads: Arrivals - subtract 3.5 hours from ETA. He was elected Leader after the 2019 election. The video of the event is the third of the three videos below. I dont agree, Pollbludger called this for Labor actually I just checked. Support local journalism. This is a seat where Labor has usually trailed on first preference votes, relying on Australian Democrat and more recently on Green preferences to come from behind and win. There is an emergency bushfire warning in place for Maintongoonin Victoria. I think there are enough Right Wing Micro Party Party votes to push Libs ahead into first. Macnamara has a large Jewish population, and Michael Danby often argued against giving the Greens preferences in Melbourne Ports because of Green support for Palestinian causes. Essential, Roy Morgan and Resolve Strategic were all well within MoE, while Newspoll-You Gov and Ipsos were right on the edge of an acceptable MoE, some would say over for Labour. Infrastructure needs: Invest in, maintain and improve our infrastructure, while being mindful of residential, economic and environmental impact. From his post 24 hours ago: All of this amounts to bad news for Labor in its quest for 76 seats, with Brisbane now out of the picture and the odds most likely leaning against them in Macnamara, which I for one thought they had in the bag earlier in the week, and which my results system is continuing to call as Labor retain due to its inability to think in three-party terms.. Agree, Dan M, also need to note that much of Prahran is also in Macnamara in all 3 seats the Libs overperformed their federal results in May and like what we saw in their elite heartland there was some recovery these seats (taking into account more right-wing minor parties this time like FFV) compared to 2018. Id be interested in seeing the final preference flows. The margin has been changed to 4.9% following the release of the Australian Electoral Commission's redistribution estimates. As in 2019 the Green candidate will be Steph Hodgins-May, the new Liberal candidate Christopher Ride. The only way that I cant see Labor winning here is if all the cards fall the right way for the Greens and that doesnt often happen. The other three members of the City Council Mayor Hal Rose, and Councilors Pat Bentley, Daniel McDow and Stephen Phrampus have terms that run until 2024. Dec Prepolls are a similar situation. (Melbourne local time. Dont get me wrong. Get breaking news alerts directly to your phone with our app, Josh Burns retains Labor's grip on inner Melbourne seat. [2] The new name was gazetted on 13 July 2018, and was first used at the 2019 federal election. . The Division of Melbourne Ports was an Australian federal electoral division in the inner south-eastern suburbs of Melbourne, Victoria, Australia. The electorate includes the Melbourne CBD, Docklands, North Melbourne, Carlton, Richmond, Princes Hill, Collingwood, Abbotsford, Fitzroy, Fitzroy North and part of Brunswick East. Rebuild of State Road 192/Hollywood Boulevard intersection, including Evans Road. 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